Saturday, December 24, 2005

Real Estate Bubble Burst: December 24, 2005

Housing Bubble Bust: Three obvious indicators revealing the inevitable recession or depression are the growing inventory of houses that continue to pile up throughout the nation, houses are on the market for much longer and are discounted in order for them to be sold. U.S. consumer debt has now increased to more than 2.16 billion dollars. This record debt is largely from Americans living beyond their ability to pay for things they do not need. It is a fact, that Americans spend more than they earn.
The downward spiral of the United States of America: There is plenty of irrefutable evidence on the residential real estate bubble that has come to light. The facts, the greed, the real estate fraud, the indictments, the fines, the convictions the incarcerations, the record consumer debt, the shattered dreams, the bankruptcies and the foreclosures continue to climb. Millions of citizens of this great nation have chosen to become slaves to debt stemming from "artificial equity" being spent on things that people just cannot afford. Real estate appraisal & mortgage fraud along with poor judgement influenced by media propaganda and driven by historic low interest rates are responsible for a destructive economic downward spiral by creating an insatiable housing "frenzy". This housing bubble could not exist if the rules in mortgage lending were kept in place. For decades, the house pricing standard for qualified homebuyers was limited to 2.5 times your annual income. Today, I have read about folks who qualify for up to 12 times their annual income for an interest only "no doc" home loan. In some states this practice is unlawful and is referred to as predatory lending. The residential real estate bubble will be bursting soon. A good indicator is the growing inventory of houses that continue to pile up throughout the nation. Abundant news is available for real estate fraud, predatory lending, the residential real estate bubble, communist China, our nations porous borders, the U.S. deficit, American consumer debt, the failed "two" party political system, and American poverty increasing for the fourth straight year. My personal favorite journalists that accurately write great articles are Danielle DiMartino, Broderick Perkins, Paul Krugman, Bill Fleckenstein, Fred Dattolo & Bill Bonner. Thanks to everyone who is actively fighting the real estate propaganda, the political greed of the federal, state and local governments, corporate irresponsibility and avidity, the felonious behavior of real estate agents, brokers, home builders, appraisers, lenders, and other guilty parties that I have failed to mention.

Matthew 8:20 And Jesus saith unto him, The foxes have holes, and the birds of the air have nests; but the Son of man hath not where to lay his head.

2 Corinthians 8:9 For ye know the grace of our Lord Jesus Christ, that, though he was rich, yet for your sakes he became poor, that ye through his poverty might be rich.

Matthew 7:26 And every one that heareth these sayings of mine, and doeth them not, shall be likened unto a foolish man, which built his house upon the sand:

The evidence is alarming and shocking in how many trillions of dollars are made by predatory lending that is currently resulting in a 25% default rate. People that could not have qualified for a house prior to the terrorist attack our great nation suffered on September 11, 2001, now qualify for a $300,000 & $400,000 house that is really worth substantially less. It has been documented that the market grew at a healthy rate of .4% from 1975-1995. But in places such as in San Diego, California real estate has gone up more then double! Are you getting the picture yet? Are you with me? It appears that the Federal governments answer to our failing economy after 9-11 was to keep the economy moving through a real estate bubble by lowering the federal interest rate to a record low federal reserve interest rate of just 1%. Almost everything is made in China and outsourcing continues to grow from corporate greed. American consumers are giving China over 50 billion dollars a month which they are using to strengthen their military like the world has not ever seen. Our country transformed from standing as a nation of industry to a nation of providing 'service' and now the service industry has been out-sourced to India along with other jobs such as information and technology (IT). But that is a separate issue. The bottom line is that there are very, very few high paying jobs created every month in the United States. How will Americans remain decent consumers if they do not have a decent job? The nation was deceived into believing that homeowners got rich almost overnight.

Psalms 73:12 Behold, these are the ungodly, who prosper in the world; they increase in riches.

Take a look at Imperial County California for example. Homes in Heber, Calif (92249) had a 'comp' average of around $45,000.00 before 9-11-2001. Now check on house prices for Heber with new homes from Centex and DR Horton producing houses with a price tag of more then $300,000 and climbing. Please keep in mind that Imperial County is infamous for having the highest unemployment in the state of California (26.3%) and ranks in the top 3 for unemployment in the United States. More than 21% of Heber residents are below the poverty line. The median annual income for Heber residents is $29,000.00. If the housing bubble can come to Heber, then it can happen anywhere. Title information is public so please take a look for yourself my friend. People who have no knowledge of real estate have dove into a market and and bought into mess much worse then the infamous internet bubble. Face it folks, we have become a nation of debt ridden consumption junkies. Americans have nothing saved up and a mountain of debt. The governments idea to correct a failing economy was by offering a record low interest rate in order to have a record number of homeowners that could have never qualified for that new house without some "creative financing" and "rule bending" for some mortgage lenders. Several appraisers chose to break the law by artificially inflating house prices with "drive-by" appraisals in many cities throughout the nation. Our largest lenders Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are nearly out of the game with their debt to loan ratio being so high. Alan Greenspan, (Federal Reserve Chairman until Dec of 2005) has raised and is raising interest slow and steady to trim down the house buying frenzy. Is it working? Somewhat, now instead of a month supply of houses nationwide, the United States have just over a seven-month supply of houses and the inventory continues to grow every month. New house prices have been slashed by more then 100,000 to attract buyers in some areas of Las Vegas not to mention the market crises looming in Florida and other parts of our country. That my friend is just the beginning. The market has peaked and now has begun to valley but the inevitable economic collapse is coming. I do not believe that people who suffered through the horrible depression of 1929 are the ones rolling around in a SUV that they cannot afford pulling up in a driveway of a recently purchased $700,000 house that was $265,000 three years ago. People who have chose to use the artificial equity in their home as an "ATM card" are going to be in a world of hurt if they are not already. The FBI has received thousands upon thousands of complaints of real estate fraud. There are an increasing amount of reports surfacing for new home builders refunding consumers without admitting guilt for their contribution of real estate fraud. Then there are the poor real estate appraisers that are getting fired for not being a team player for the good old boy network. What agency is defending the appraisers who are actually reporting the lenders twisting their arm for inflated appraisals? Lenders in many areas are writing loans based on fictitious and artificially inflated prices for this real estate bubble. The appraisers that lack the courage to resist the pressure from these lenders should be fined and prosecuted on a much larger scale everywhere that this is taking place. At least some of the real estate appraisers "playing the bubble game" are getting fined and imprisoned for their part in contributing to the residential real estate bubble. Appraisal fraud is a serious and prosecutable crime. This bubble was created from greed and fueled by a combination of fear and ignorance. One day this predatory lending will catch up with the people responsible for creating a nation of slaves to debt. I have to believe that the administration of justice will come to everyone who has willfully committed real estate fraud. If you would like to read more on this growing crises, you may read on the cause and effect of the housing bubble fraud at this web site.
The bible says in (Proverbs 28:21) To have respect of persons is not good: for for a piece of bread that man will transgress. Do not seek the widom of ungodly people for you will be deceived. Put your faith in our living God who will set you free through our blessed Lord & Savior Jesus Christ. Trust and love the Lord with all you heart, soul, mind & strength. (Psalms 34:8) O taste and see that the Lord is good: blessed is the man that trusteth in him. (Psalms 37:40) And the Lord shall help them, and deliver them: he shall deliver them from the wicked, and save them, because they trust in him. (Psalms 118:8) It is better to trust in the Lord than to put confidence in man. (Jeremiah 17:5) Thus saith the Lord; Cursed be the man that trusteth in man, and maketh flesh his arm, and whose heart departeth from the Lord. (Jeremiah 17:7) Blessed is the man that trusteth in the Lord, and whose hope the Lord is. (1 Corinthians 1:3) Grace be unto you, and peace, from God our Father, and from the Lord Jesus Christ. Accept Christ as your Savior and make peace with God my friends before it is too late. (Luke 21:8) And he said, Take heed that ye be not deceived: for many shall come in my name, saying, I am Christ; and the time draweth near: go ye not therefore after them. (Romans 13:11) And that, knowing the time, that now it is high time to awake out of sleep: for now is our salvation nearer than when we believed. (Psalms 9:15) The heathen are sunk down in the pit that they made: in the net which they hid is their own foot taken. (1 Chronicles 16:24) Declare his glory among the heathen; his marvelous works among all nations. (John 15:22) If I had not come and spoken unto them, they had not had sin: but now they have no cloak for their sin.